84
      Wednesday
      95 / 75
      Thursday
      91 / 72
      Friday
      93 / 73

      Frank's Spring Forecast

      UNLIKE LAST YEAR, OLD MAN WINTER HASMADE VERY FEW VISITS TO GREEN COUNTRY THIS YEAR. SO FAR THIS SEASON,OUR WEATHER IS A LOT MORE LIKE SPRING. BUT WHY HAS IT BEEN SO MILD? AND WHATDOES THIS MEAN FOR THIS COMING SPRING?{}

      ITS ALMOST LIKE WE'RE BEING REWARDEDFOR THE HORRIBLE WINTER WE HAD LAST YEAR. INSTEAD OF SNOW, WE'VE HADSUN. INSTEAD OF RECORD COLD WE'VE HAD NEAR RECORD WARMTH. BUT IS THISA BAD SIGN FOR WHAT'S TO COME?

      At this time a year ago we were stillrecovering from back to back major winter storms, one of them ablizzard, and record cold temperatures including 31 degrees belowzero in Nowata. As the saying goes, what a difference a year makes.By this time last year we received a record 26 inches of snow, so farthis year we've only had 1.7". The last time we had so little snowwas 1976.

      This winter can only be characterizedas warm and dry. Temperatures have been as high as 30 degrees abovenormal with the warmest day being 72 degrees. Unless things change,this will go down as one of the warmest winters in our history on theheals of one of the coldest. There has been a serious lack of coldair, snow and rain.

      A big reason for that is La Nina, thecooling of the eastern Pacific Ocean, which is keeping the jet streamfar to the north, trapping the really cold air up there, and allowingus to stay warm down here. This doesn't come as asurprise, remember this from last November?

      My Winter Prediction: "So what canwe expect this winter? There's a good chance we will escape the worstwith warmer and drier weather compared to last year."

      So now the bigquestion is.....will this mild and dry winter lead to a mild and dryspring? And what about tornadoes? Will there be more or less thanusual?

      I don't see any reason why we won'thave a mild spring since I don't expect this pattern to changeanytime soon.

      And the dry weather should continue aswell. The parched earth and the dry air above it will make it thatmuch harder for rain to fall. It's very difficult to bust out of adrought. That means more fire danger days.

      Despite the dry conditions this spring,I'm forecasting slightly more than our normal share of tornadoes.

      Oklahoma averages 54 twisters per year,last year we had a whopping 119. This year I'm forecasting 56tornadoes for the state.

      Frank

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